Africazine:
South Africa’s maize export activity is slowing, raising concerns about regional supply.
Despite ongoing exports, volumes are significantly lower than expected. Last week, South Africa exported 42,931 tonnes of maize, with 56% going to Zimbabwe, contributing to a total of 1.42 million tonnes projected for the 2025-26 season, against an expected 2.40 million tonnes.
South Africa’s Maize Exports Face Challenges
South Africa continues to export maize to the Southern African region, but the pace has diminished. The current marketing year, which ends in April 2026, has seen modest exports, primarily due to low stocks in Zimbabwe. This situation has led to a slower-than-anticipated demand for South African maize.
Last week’s export figures indicate that while there is some activity, it is not at the levels initially expected. The country exported 42,931 tonnes, with Zimbabwe being the primary recipient. The remainder was distributed to other countries in the region.
South Africa: Key figures on maize exports
- 42,931 tonnes of maize exported last week
- 1.42 million tonnes projected for 2025-26
- 2.40 million tonnes expected seasonal exports
- 1 million tonnes needed to be exported in the next three months
- 110,447 tonnes of yellow maize imported from Argentina
Market Dynamics and Future Outlook
The current market dynamics show ample maize supplies in South Africa, which, coupled with slow export activity, has exerted downward pressure on prices. Prices for both white and yellow maize have decreased by over 30% compared to the previous year.
Despite the challenges, South Africa remains a net exporter of maize. However, minor imports of yellow maize from Argentina are expected to continue, particularly benefiting coastal regions where low prices are attractive.
Next Steps for South Africa’s Maize Market
- Monitor export volumes over the next quarter
- Assess demand from Zimbabwe and other Southern African countries
- Evaluate the impact of imports from Argentina on local prices
South Africa’s maize exports are crucial for regional food security, but current trends indicate a need for increased activity.
